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Real Analysis

New Ballot Numbers Simply Dropped and Democrats Are NOT Going to Like Them

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Democrats have a problem.

And it’s not just Republicans saying it.

CNN — yes, CNN — just dropped a poll that has to be sending shockwaves through every Democrat strategy meeting in the country right now. According to their own data, only 28% of Americans view the Democrat Party favorably. That is the lowest number CNN has ever recorded going all the way back to 1992.

Meanwhile, Republicans sit at 32% favorable. That gives the GOP a net favorability lead of 5 points heading into the 2026 midterms.

Here’s why that matters.

In 2018 — the last time a Republican was in the White House during midterms — Democrats led net favorability by 12 points. In 2006, they led by 18. Those were both blue wave years.

Now? The script has completely flipped.

Take a look:

And here are the raw numbers straight from CNN’s own polling:

CNN’s data analyst Harry Enten reportedly called it a historic shift. According to multiple reports, Enten noted that Democrats are “running behind their previous benchmarks” — and that this kind of positioning has never happened before in a midterm cycle with a Republican president.

It gets worse for Democrats when you look inside their own party.

According to the CNN poll, a majority of Democrat voters — 55% — say their own party doesn’t even have the right priorities. Over 70% of all American voters feel the same way about the party.

Even the White House has taken notice:

Fox News reported on the dire numbers:

The CNN poll, conducted March 26-30, found that just 28% of Americans view the Democratic Party favorably, while 56% view them unfavorably. The Republican Party sits at 32% favorable and 55% unfavorable.

Across multiple recent polls, Democrats trail by approximately 20 points in net favorability, while Republicans lag by 15 — a notably better position for the GOP heading into a midterm cycle.

Political scientist Wayne Lesperance stated that “voters remain unimpressed with their brand and for far too many voters the party continues to be defined by Biden and Harris.”

Defined by Biden and Harris. That’s the brand they’re stuck with. And the American people are clearly done with it.

Mediaite reported on what this could mean for the Senate:

CNN’s Harry Enten warned that Democrats’ polling lead may not be enough to take the Senate, even if they remain competitive for the House.

Enten noted that Democrats hold just a five-point average lead on the generic congressional ballot — historically low for an opposition party at this point with a Republican president in the White House.

The math is brutal for Democrats. If Republicans hold states President Trump won by double digits — Ohio, Texas, and Alaska — they’d keep a 51-49 Senate majority even if Democrats flip North Carolina and Maine.

So the party that has thrown everything they have at President Trump for years now finds itself at the lowest favorability rating in modern polling history.

Republicans are in a stronger position heading into midterms than any Republican president’s party has been in at least two decades.

And it’s not coming from some right-wing pollster. It’s coming from CNN.





Source
Las Vegas News Magazine

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