Trump Takes MASSIVE Lead Over Kamala In Top 2024 Forecast
Former President Donald Trump has surged ahead of Vice President Kamala Harris in the latest 2024 election forecast as the country inches closer to Election Day. According to the latest data released on Monday by renowned poll analyst Nate Silver, Trump holds a commanding 64.4% to Harris’ 35.3% in the nationwide forecast. This marks a new high for Trump, reinforcing his growing momentum as a potential frontrunner for the presidency.
What makes this forecast even more critical are the swing states, where Trump is projected to dominate key battlegrounds that could ultimately decide the election. The polling suggests that Trump is leading Harris in several states that were fiercely contested in the 2020 election.
Here’s a breakdown of the numbers:
- Pennsylvania: Trump 65% – Harris 35%
- Michigan: Trump 55% – Harris 45%
- Wisconsin: Trump 53% – Harris 47%
- Arizona: Trump 77% – Harris 23%
- North Carolina: Trump 76% – Harris 24%
- Georgia: Trump 69% – Harris 31%
- Nevada: Trump 61% – Harris 39%
#Latest @NateSilver538 Forecast (9/9)
🟥 Trump: 64.4% (new high)
🟦 Harris: 35.3%
——
Swing States: chance of winningPennsylvania – 🔴 Trump 65-35%
Michigan – 🔴 Trump 55-45%
Wisconsin – 🔴 Trump 53-47%
Arizona – 🔴 Trump 77-23%
North Carolina – 🔴 Trump 76-24%
Georgia – 🔴… pic.twitter.com/Cw23W9WmSK— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 9, 2024
Trump’s solid lead in states like Arizona, Georgia, and Pennsylvania—typically seen as key swing states—could be a decisive factor in the 2024 election. Several factors may explain Trump’s current edge over Harris in the polls. For one, his messaging around issues like inflation, border security, and crime has resonated with a significant portion of the electorate. Moreover, Trump’s enduring popularity among Republicans and his firm grip on the GOP base give him a distinct advantage. Trump has successfully maintained loyalty from a large part of the electorate, while Harris has struggled to gain similar enthusiasm among Democrats.
Political betting markets are also starting to reflect the growing belief that Trump has the upper hand. According to odds provided by Polymarket, Trump currently sits at 52%, while Harris trails at 46%. While these odds are more fluid and subject to change, they provide additional insight into the perception of Trump’s strong position heading into the final weeks of the campaign.
With just 56 days left until the election, Trump’s momentum appears to be building as Harris faces an uphill battle to regain ground. Though anything can happen between now and November, these latest numbers will undoubtedly fuel further speculation about a potential Trump comeback. Harris and Trump are set for their showdown in tomorrow’s pivotal presidential debate. Ahead of their first in-person clash, Trump has huddled with top advisers, policy gurus, and key supporters.
Originally, Biden and Trump consented to two debates—one on CNN in June and another on ABC in September. However, the plan was disrupted when Biden withdrew from the race in July. The 90-minute debate will be moderated by ABC’s David Muir and Linsey Davis and will occur without a live audience. It will include two commercial breaks, during which candidates’ campaign staff are prohibited from interacting with them. The setup is similar to the rules used during the CNN debate.
The format includes two minutes for each candidate to respond to questions and for rebuttals, plus an extra minute for any follow-up or clarification. No props or prepared notes are allowed on stage. The debate will conclude with each candidate delivering a two-minute closing statement. Trump will make the final statement after a coin toss, as confirmed by ABC. No opening statements will be given.