NFL divisional spherical odds, early bets: Seahawks favored vs. 49ers; Rams over Bears

The NFL wild-card round certainly lived up to its name.

The Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks — the top seeds in the AFC and the NFC, respectively — will get in on the action this coming weekend in the divisional round after earning first-round byes.

In the AFC, the Broncos will face the visiting Buffalo Bills, who escaped a wild finish against the Jacksonville Jaguars that featured four touchdowns in a back-and-forth fourth quarter.

The Patriots shut down the Los Angeles Chargers, and New England will host the Houston Texans.

In the NFC, the Seahawks will host the San Francisco 49ers, who scored the final 13 points in their first-round outing with the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles to pull out the win.

The Bears erased an 18-point deficit against the Green Bay Packers in their wild-card matchup, and Chicago will host the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams were able to rally past the Carolina Panthers thanks to a Matthew Stafford touchdown pass with 38 seconds left to advance.

Here’s a look at the odds for every game in the divisional round.

Note: Odds by DraftKings Sportsbook and subject to change.

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BUF-DEN | SF-SEA | HOU-NE | LAR-CHI

Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos -1.5
Saturday, 4:30 p.m., CBS

Money Line: Bills (-108); Broncos (-112)
Total: 45.5; Opened: 46.5
FPI favorite: Broncos by 0.5 with a 52% probability to win the game outright

Betting notes

• The Bills beat the Broncos 31-7 n the wild-card round last season, but that game was played in Buffalo.

• The Broncos are 3-9 against the spread as favorites this season.

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks -7.5
Saturday, 8 p.m., FOX

Money Line: 49ers (+280); Seahawks (-355)
Total: 44.5; Opened: 46.5
FPI favorite: Seahawks by 3.8 with a 60% probability to win the game outright

Betting notes

• These teams split their regular season meetings. Seattle won and covered Week 18, while the 49ers won and covered Week 1.

• Favorites of 7 or more in the divisional round are 8-1 outright and 3-6 ATS. The only outright loss was the Detroit Lions last season vs. the Washington Commanders.

• Seattle is 5-0 outright and 3-1-1 ATS as a favorite of at least 7 points in the playoffs.

• Brock Purdy is 1-4 ATS as an underdog in his career, fourth worst among QBs since 2022.

Houston Texans vs. New England Patriots -3
Sunday, 3 p.m., ESPN, ABC

Money Line: Texans (+142); Patriots (-170)
Total: 40.5; Opened: 41.5
FPI favorite: Patriots by 0.7 with a 52% probability to win the game outright

Betting notes

• The Patriots went 12-5 ATS in the regular season, tied for the best record in the NFL. Overs went 11-6 in Patriots games, tied for the second highest over percentage. The Pats covered Sunday night against the Chargers, and the game went under the total.

• New England signal-caller Drake Maye is 9-3 ATS in his career as a favorite, including the playoffs (all this season).

Los Angeles Rams -3.5 vs. Chicago Bears
Sunday, 6:30 p.m., NBC, Peacock

Money Line: Rams (-198); Bears (+164)
Total: 48.5; Opened: 51.5
FPI favorite: Rams by 4.5 with a 61% probability to win the game outright

Betting notes

• Road favorites in the divisional round are 5-10 outright and ATS, including 1-6 outright and ATS in the last seven instances.

• The Rams are the fourth team in the Super Bowl era (since 1966) to be road favorites in consecutive playoff games within a season.

• The Rams are 8-6 ATS in the playoffs under Sean McVay, including 5-3 ATS with Matthew Stafford.