NEW: Ballot Reveals Motion In NYC Mayoral Race As Mamdani’s Lead Slips

The battle for New York City mayor is tightening, according to a new Fox News Poll that shows Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani’s lead shrinking, though he continues to hold a clear advantage over his rivals.

The poll, conducted October 24–28 among likely voters, finds Mamdani leading with 47%, followed by former Governor Andrew Cuomo at 31% and Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa at 15%. Two percent still back Eric Adams, who remains on the ballot despite dropping out in late September. The results mark a noticeable shift from early October, when Mamdani led with 52%, suggesting the race may be tightening as the campaign enters its final stretch.

While Mamdani maintains a 16-point overall lead, the decline from his earlier 21-point advantage hints that his support could be softening. Cuomo has gained modest ground since early October, rising three points, while Sliwa’s numbers have remained relatively flat.

Still, Mamdani continues to lead in nearly every major issue category tested, including local economy, taxes, and bringing “needed change” to City Hall. The poll shows 50% of voters trust him most to “bring needed change,” compared with 26% for Cuomo and 20% for Sliwa. He also tops the list on economic issues, with 47% saying he’d do the best job handling the cost of living.

Sliwa, the longtime Guardian Angels founder and radio host, continues to perform best on crime — 31% of voters trust him most to handle public safety, compared to 36% for Mamdani and 30% for Cuomo. It’s the only category where the Republican is competitive.

In a hypothetical head-to-head race between Mamdani and Cuomo, the poll finds Mamdani leading 49% to 39%, with 7% opting for “someone else.” That 10-point margin represents a slimmer gap than his current three-way lead, suggesting Cuomo may be consolidating some of the anti-Mamdani vote.

Cuomo’s independent bid has drawn both moderate Democrats and disaffected centrists, while Mamdani has energized progressive and younger voters across the boroughs. The generational contrast has fueled what many observers call one of the most unpredictable New York City mayoral contests in recent memory.

Mamdani’s favorability sits at 55%, down five points from early October’s 60%. Cuomo’s favorable rating is 45%, steady from previous months, while Sliwa’s has risen to 40%, up from 37%.

President Donald Trump, who remains popular among the city’s Republican base but deeply unpopular overall, saw his favorability increase slightly to 27%, though his net rating remains negative in the overwhelmingly Democratic city.

When asked which candidate is most capable of “competently running city government,” 42% chose Mamdani, with 40% saying Cuomo and 16% selecting Sliwa. On taxes, Mamdani again leads with 46%, while Cuomo earns 29% and Sliwa 19%.

The results show that Mamdani’s strength lies in his image as a reformer and agent of change, but concerns over the economy and crime could limit his ceiling with older and working-class voters—groups where Cuomo and Sliwa perform better.

With two weeks left until Election Day, Cuomo appears to be gaining traction among swing and centrist voters, while Sliwa remains a factor capable of pulling votes on the right. For now, Mamdani’s lead remains intact—but the trend lines suggest a volatile race entering its final phase, with both opponents looking to chip away at the progressive frontrunner’s once-commanding advantage.